dc.contributor.author | Holst, Johan J. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-08-29T11:42:00Z | |
dc.date.available | 2022-08-29T11:42:00Z | |
dc.date.issued | 1990 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0800-0018 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3014142 | |
dc.description.abstract | The present paper contains a personal forecast. It considers that political developments in Europe will shape East-West relations over the next years. The new political order in Europe most likely will be a community order which is designed to absorb and contain centrifugal ethnic pressures on the existing states and of responding to the transnational chal lenges linking the countries of Europe to a common future. It could include a security and disengagement zone, SDZ, compri sing the countries of East-Europe. Foreign troops and nuclear weapons would be prohibited in the zone and indigenous forces would be limited. The SDZ would contribute to a geopolitical balance in the European order between the USSR and NATO.
The prospects for arms control agreements are good. START-I and CFE-I treaties will be followed up by negotiations for future reductions and constraints. CFE-II is likely to have a territorial rather than a structural orientation. The paper concludes by outlining the rationale for a structural approach to naval arms control. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | NUPI | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | NUPI notat;420 | |
dc.rights | Navngivelse-Ikkekommersiell-DelPåSammeVilkår 4.0 Internasjonal | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.no | * |
dc.subject | Disarmament | en_US |
dc.subject | Strategic Arms Reduction Talks | en_US |
dc.subject | Political systems | en_US |
dc.subject | International politics | en_US |
dc.subject | Armed forces | en_US |
dc.subject | Arms limitations | en_US |
dc.subject | Conventional weapons | en_US |
dc.subject | Europe | en_US |
dc.subject | CSCE | en_US |
dc.title | The Evolution of East-West Relations and the Arms Control Dialogue during the Next Two Years - A Personal Forecast | en_US |
dc.type | Report | en_US |
dc.description.version | publishedVersion | en_US |
dc.subject.nsi | VDP::Social science: 200::Political science and organizational theory: 240::International politics: 243 | en_US |