• Predictive peacekeeping: opportunities and challenges 

      Duursma, Allard; Karlsrud, John (NUPI Policy Brief;2018-10, Research report, 2018)
      The time is ripe for the development of a UN early warning tool that estimates the likelihood of instability, intercommunity clashes and armed violence in areas in which UN peacekeepers operate. However, this development ...
    • Predictive Peacekeeping: Strengthening Predictive Analysis in UN Peace Operations 

      Duursma, Allard; Karlsrud, John (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      The UN is becoming increasingly data-driven. Until recently, data-driven initiatives have mainly been led by individual UN field missions, but with António Guterres, the new Secretary-General, a more centralized approach ...