• Forum: Making Peace with Un-Certainty: Reflections on the Role of Digital Technology in Peace Processes beyond the Data Hype 

      Hirblinger, Andreas Timo; Wählisch, Martin; Keator, Kate; McNaboe, Chris; Duursma, Allard; Karlsrud, John; Sticher, Valerie; Verjee, Aly; Kyselova, Tetiana; Kwaja, Chris M; Perera, Suda (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Recent years have seen the acceleration of data- and evidence-based approaches in support of peace processes, creating a renewed confidence that conflicts can be predicted, known, and resolved, based on objective information ...
    • Predictive peacekeeping: opportunities and challenges 

      Duursma, Allard; Karlsrud, John (NUPI Policy Brief;2018-10, Research report, 2018)
      The time is ripe for the development of a UN early warning tool that estimates the likelihood of instability, intercommunity clashes and armed violence in areas in which UN peacekeepers operate. However, this development ...
    • Predictive Peacekeeping: Strengthening Predictive Analysis in UN Peace Operations 

      Duursma, Allard; Karlsrud, John (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      The UN is becoming increasingly data-driven. Until recently, data-driven initiatives have mainly been led by individual UN field missions, but with António Guterres, the new Secretary-General, a more centralized approach ...
    • UN Peacekeeping at 75: Achievements, Challenges, and Prospects 

      Duursma, Allard; Bara, Corinne; Wilén, Nina; Hellmüller, Sarah; Karlsrud, John; Oksamytna, Kseniya; Bruker, Janek; Campbell, Susanna; Cusimano, Salvator; Donati, Marco; Dorussen, Han; Druet, Dirk; Geier, Valentin; Epiney, Marine; Gelot, Linnea; Gyllensporre, Dennis; Hiensch, Annick; Hultman, Lisa; Hunt, Charles T.; Krishnan, Rajkumar Cheney; Labuda, Patryk I.; Langenbach, Sascha; Norberg, Annika Hilding; Novosseloff, Alexandra; Oriesek, Daniel; Rhoads, Emily Paddon; Re, Francesco; Russo, Jenna; Sauter, Melanie; Smidt, Hannah; Staeger, ueli; Wenger, Andreas (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      This year marks the 75th anniversary of what the UN itself understands to be its first peacekeeping operation. It is therefore an appropriate time to reflect on the track record of UN peacekeeping in its efforts to try to ...