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dc.contributor.authorIrnazarov, Farrukh
dc.contributor.authorVakulchuk, Roman
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-08T08:25:40Z
dc.date.available2021-06-08T08:25:40Z
dc.date.created2020-09-13T13:02:46Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.identifier.citationhttps://www.silkroadstudies.org/resources/Discovering_Opportunities_in_the_Pandemic_-_Irnazarov_-_Vakulchuk_30.07.20_-_FINAL_wCover.pdfen_US
dc.identifier.isbn978-91-88551-18-4
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/2758445
dc.description.abstractThe COVID-19 crisis represents not only an unprecedented economic disruption but also an opportunity for Central Asia. A specific economic policy response may trigger either game-changing reforms that can facilitate the development of full-fledged market institutions or lead to a protracted crisis that would jeopardize almost 30-year long market economy transition progress. As it is rather unclear where the recovery pendulum will make its final swing, the current situation provides fruitful soil for various assumptions. This paper proposes and examines four scenarios of economic response strategies for the region as a whole, and for Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan in particular, that result in unique development trajectories. The paper employs the foresight methodology to build four scenarios related to the situation after the lockdown is fully lifted. The scenarios serve the purpose of helping decision makers to embark on informed decisions while shaping anti-crisis measures and better understand causality mechanisms behind their policy choices.
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherCentral Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Programen_US
dc.relation.ispartofSilkroad Papers
dc.relation.ispartofseriesSilkroad Papers;
dc.relation.urihttps://www.researchgate.net/publication/344226573
dc.subjectInternasjonal økonomi
dc.subjectInternational economics
dc.subjectØkonomisk vekst
dc.subjectEconomic growth
dc.subjectHandel
dc.subjectTrade
dc.subjectAsia
dc.subjectAsia
dc.titleDiscovering Opportunities in the Pandemic? Four Economic Response Scenarios for Central Asiaen_US
dc.typeResearch reporten_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersion
dc.subject.nsiVDP::Internasjonal politikk: 243
dc.subject.nsiVDP::International politics: 243
dc.source.pagenumber47en_US
dc.identifier.cristin1829410
cristin.ispublishedtrue
cristin.fulltextoriginal


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